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Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Wed Nov 05, 2008 4:52 pm
by Sober
My first mention of Obama on this board is Oct 31, 2006. My first 'Obama 08' was a week later:
Sober wrote:WOOOOOOOOO!
Rummy steps down! Dem's take the house, may still take the senate, and take a shitload of governorships.
Light at the end of the tunnel. OBAMA 08'
And now, here's my intense prophetical wisdom, laid down on January 8 of this year:
Sober wrote:Guys.
Clinton is not going to get the nomination. Edwards (who won't win, regardless) will quit if he doesn't finish a very strong second today (which he won't). Obama will be the Democratic candidate, and the only way this won't happen is if he screws up royally, or if Clinton is sitting on a serious bomb (a snuke, if you will). When Edwards steps out, he will instruct his supporters to follow Obama, further increasing his momentum.
Once again, Clinton won't win, quit worrying about what would happen with Clinton v. Guiliani. Obama v. Huckabee or Romney would scare me more.
The Republicans have a lot going on. Romney has been the clear money favorite, but Huckabee's victory in Iowa set him back considerably. Romney also sucks pretty bad in general. Huckabee doesn't stand a chance in the long run imo, because the Republican party knows he's unelectable in the general.
We'll have to see what Guiliani brings on Super Tuesday. It may already be too late for him by then, with his name out of the news and low on the polls for so long.
McCain is the most realistic candidate to come through for the GOP. He's ahead of Romney in the NH polls, and has a pretty good road ahead of him, especially if he takes today.
Obama v. McCain is the overwhelming market favorite right now, and that matchup would be in America's best interest either way.
And stfu about white-supremacist Ron frickin Paul
Also, it looks like my map posted in
this thread is perfect, with the exception of Missouri.
I'm too hungover to wax philosophical about this election, so I'll settle for gloating.
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Wed Nov 05, 2008 7:07 pm
by john m
itt LOOK AT ME I WAS RIGHT
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Wed Nov 05, 2008 9:29 pm
by Sober
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Wed Nov 05, 2008 10:16 pm
by Billy's Little Trip
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 12:02 am
by mico saudad
Well, let me get my gloating over with and say that I was the first around here to call this back in January 2007. In addition to being proud to be an American again and hopeful that things might actually be screwed up enough for people to want to fix things, I bet $500 on the political betting markets on a longshot candidate back then and raked in a whole hell of a lot of money this week. Seems I found the only stock rising meteorically over the last two years.
by mico saudad on Tue Jan 16, 2007 11:22 am wrote:
Obama will run for president in 2008 and it doesn't matter that he's black. It doesn't matter that he has no presidential experience (the current administration has proved that experience doesn't matter). It doesn't matter that his middle name is Hussein or that his name rhymes with Osama. All of that is meaningless. It's the type of stuff that people with no real value will use against him because that's all the ammunition they'll have.
Don't allow 'will other people vote for him?' to enter your head. Just ask yourself 'should I support him?'. If the answer is yes go here and sign up:
http://www.barackobama.com/
As for the exact magnitude of victory...
by mico saudad on Mon Nov 03, 2008 8:28 am wrote:
Obama 364 votes, 54% of popular
Dems 58 Senate seats
36417 House seats +/-
I'm exactly right on the electoral college count, pretty close to the %, and probably right on or one off of the senate count depending on how some of the unfinished races turn out.
OK so I was a bit off on the house races
If anyone wants me to read their fortunes send me a check for $500 and I'll get right on it.
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 12:41 am
by roymond
Years ago I designed some loop-woven bathmats so that I could be out there in Chicago selling these things at 10:00 CT when it was announced he won. I'm telling ya, I made a mint last night! Yeah, it was a gamble, but I had hope on my side. And lots of people have cold tile floors in Chicago on a November evening.
If there's anyone out there...
who doesn't think textiles is a viable AMERICAN industry...
tonight is their answer.
(OK, these are made in China, but they were DESIGNED in America)
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 12:48 am
by Spud
spud, sometime back in the earlier part of this century wrote:This can't fucking last forever.
See, I totally called it.
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 3:05 am
by Denyer
this is what I wrote on August 4, 1961
Denyer wrote:hay guys I was at the hospital tonight and there was this black kid born named barack obama. keep an eye on him I think he'll be president of the USA in about 47 years. oh and I also met a 13 year old white girl named Hillary Rodham recently but I don't think she'll ever be president, even if her husband is first.
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 8:17 am
by Hoblit
john m wrote:itt LOOK AT ME I WAS RIGHT
Yeah, totally a narcissistic thread.
Ok, lemme call it:
Bush doesn't leave office pulling some emergency powers dealeo.
Or
Obama gets assassinated.
OR
Our democracy turns into national socialism.
There will be a probability of two outcomes based on all three of the events listed above:
1. Revolution. We'll have been jaded so far past the point of no return that we will finally fight back against the system.
...but more likely...
2. Shake our fists at the TV and continue to live right through everything going on around us while posting our opinions on message boards claiming we were right! (I KNOW I WILL!)
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 9:14 am
by mico saudad
Well, yeah it's a narcissistic thread, that's the point.
It's pretty easy to avoid (if people wanted to) - on the other hand it makes a perfect target to pee in other people's cornflakes, which some people like to do.
I'll make one last prediction:
Despite the raging cynicism that people have, over the next four years we will finally start fixing some of the problems we have, but many problems will remain:
We will get universal health care.
Any American will be able to go to college if they choose to do community service.
America will play down it's self-described 'sole superpower' status, and good riddance
Iran wil go nuclear
Israel will still exist
The middle east will still be a clusterfudge, and to the degree we can put flaming dung in our gastanks (anything but oil) we'll be better off.
If I'm worried about anything it's that were not ready to do what it takes to really solve our environmental/sustainability problems.
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 9:25 am
by roymond
If there's anything we should have learned from the Clinton years it's that we can achieve great things, we will fuck up some things, and "it's the economy, stupid." Things were really fucked up after a Bush presidency then, and the same is true now. But we did great things.
I said "we". This isn't solely the president's job. And he can't do it for us. Don't matter who's the president. Same as it ain't just the president's fault for where we're at now.
Yes we can!
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 11:17 am
by Caravan Ray
Hoblit wrote:
Our democracy turns into national socialism.
You mean like nationalising some banks and using taxpayers money to bail out others?
Wow Hoblit! You're good You predict things that happen even before you predict them!
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Thu Nov 06, 2008 12:21 pm
by Hoblit
Caravan Ray wrote:Hoblit wrote:
Our democracy turns into national socialism.
You mean like nationalising some banks and using taxpayers money to bail out others?
Wow Hoblit! You're good You predict things that happen even before you predict them!
Yeah, I have amazing powers of observation.
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Sun Nov 09, 2008 12:04 pm
by Billy's Little Trip
Hey Sober, why pray tell haven't you had anything to say of late?
Kidding, but this vid made me think of you.
"Now I just want my old condescending Obama obsessed friend back".
[youtube]<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="
http://www.youtube.com/v/c3_95F5e-Ac&co ... ram><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="
http://www.youtube.com/v/c3_95F5e-Ac&co ... hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>[/youtube]
Re: Quote yourself calling it
Posted: Mon Nov 10, 2008 3:04 pm
by mico saudad
haha
I hadn't seen that. That's awesome.
